[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 252014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252014 
NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-DCZ000-VAZ000-252215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1419
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN VA/MD/DE/SE PA/NJ/SE NY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 521...

VALID 252014Z - 252215Z

CONTINUE WW.

INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING ALONG FRONTAL ZONE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW YORK STATE THROUGH NORTHERN NEW JERSEY INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.  FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT MARGINAL HAIL THREAT IN STRONGEST CELLS NEXT FEW
HOURS. HOWEVER...MOST EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS OCCURRING
IN LEE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE WASHINGTON D.C./BALTIMORE
AREAS...AND EVOLUTION OF MORE ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTER APPEARS
LIKELY NEAR/NORTHWEST OF BALTIMORE WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. 
THIS SHOULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRENGTHENING SURFACE COLD
POOL...WHICH COULD POSE INCREASING RISK OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS 40
TO 50 KT WEST SOUTHWESTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW AIDS PROPAGATION TOWARD
THE PHILADELPHIA AREA THROUGH 26/00Z.

..KERR.. 06/25/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP...LWX...

39167760 39687742 40227700 40457614 40307482 39527514
38787674 38907711 

WWWW