[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 242345
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242344 
PAZ000-NYZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-250145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1413
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0644 PM CDT THU JUN 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME WRN NY STATE..WRN AND CENTRAL PA...E
CENTRAL OH AND THE NRN WV PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 519...

VALID 242344Z - 250145Z

SQUALL LINE CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EWD ACROSS NERN OH AT 30-40 KT.  WE
ARE MONITORING THIS AREA FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.

SQUALL LINE HAS A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL AS IT
MOVED ACROSS NERN AND N CENTRAL OH.  MLCAPE VALUES ARE RUNNING
BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 J/KG AHEAD OF THE LINE.  MAIN ADVANCEMENT OF
THE STRONG COLD FRONT IS EWD ACROSS NERN OH INTO NWRN PA AND WRN NY
WHICH WOULD PLACE THE LEADING ACTIVITY INTO THIS AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT HOUR OR SO. SURFACE TEMPS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S..AND DEW
POINTS IN THE LOW 60S AHEAD OF THE FRONT CONTINUE TO BE FAVORABLE TO
SUPPORT STRONG/SEVERE STORMS THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING WILL DECREASE POTENTIAL INSTABILITY...BUT WITH ADVANCING
COLD FRONT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN A CONCERN ACROSS THIS
REGION.

..MCCARTHY.. 06/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

39988140 40258110 40938060 41848025 42327930 41997810
41047794 40317894 39898004 39848111 

WWWW