[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Thu Jun 24 20:36:42 UTC 2004


ACUS11 KWNS 242034
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 242033 
FLZ000-242130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1410
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 PM CDT THU JUN 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SCENTRAL/CENTRAL FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 242033Z - 242130Z

ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS/LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONGEST STORMS DEVELOPING ON THE SEA BREEZE FRONT OVER SWRN INTO
WCENTRAL FL. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED DUE TO THE LACK OF A BETTER
ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT.

LATEST RAD/SAT IMAGERY INDICATES INTENSIFYING CONVECTION ALONG THE
SEA BREEZE FRONT OVER SWRN FL...JUST SOUTH OF THE TAMPA BAY AREA.
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7.0 C/KM NOTED ON THE 12Z MIAMI
AND 16Z CAPE CANAVERAL SOUNDINGS AND MLCAPE VALUES FROM 2500-3500
J/KG WILL SUPPORT VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF WET MICROBURSTS
AND/OR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. INTERACTIONS BETWEEN OUTFLOW FROM SEA
BREEZE CONVECTION AND OTHER BOUNDARIES /INCLUDING THE EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE FRONT/ OVER SCENTRAL FL MAY SUPPORT ADDITIONAL THREAT FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE AREA.

..CROSBIE.. 06/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...

26278175 27148230 27918268 28468215 28358165 27688108
26678074 26148118 

WWWW





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