[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Thu Jun 24 19:29:41 UTC 2004


ACUS11 KWNS 241928
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241927 
SCZ000-GAZ000-242130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1408
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0227 PM CDT THU JUN 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA AND SRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 241927Z - 242130Z

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL GA SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROGRESS
EWD AND MAY GROW IN AREAL COVERAGE AS THEY MOVE INTO ERN GA AND SRN
SC OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION DOWNSTREAM OF
CONVECTIVE LINE ALONG WITH SUPPORT BY A MID LEVEL SPEED MAX MAY AID
IN AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 

LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATES LOW 70S TEMPERATURES IN THE COLD POOL
BEHIND A CONVECTIVE LINE AS IT MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL GA. SUSTAINED
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE AND AN
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM OF THIS LINE WITH MLCAPES
FROM 1500-2000 J/KG AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD FAVOR
CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A VORT MAX OVER NRN
AL...A LOW-MID LEVEL 30-35 KT WIND MAX SAMPLED BY REGIONAL VWP/S MAY
SUPPORT SOME ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE AS IT MOVES INTO
SWRN SC.

..CROSBIE.. 06/24/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...

32128389 32538401 32818397 33288308 33738143 33668090
32758061 31888106 31828267 

WWWW





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