[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 232112
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232112 
SCZ000-GAZ000-232245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1397
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0412 PM CDT WED JUN 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN GA AND FAR SRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 232112Z - 232245Z

ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH CONVECTIVE
LINES AS THEY MOVE EWD ACROSS FAR SERN GA INTO FAR SRN SC. OVERALL
THREAT WILL REMAIN LIMITED ENOUGH THAT A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER SERN GA. AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM OF
THIS CONVECTION REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPES FROM 3000-4000
J/KG ALONG WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES. 25 KT DEEP LAYER
UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW SAMPLED RECENTLY BY THE VWP AT VALDOSTA..ALONG
WITH CONVECTIVE LINES PERPENDICULAR TO THE DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL
FAVOR SOME POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS. ADDITIONALLY... ISOLATED STORM MERGERS MAY AID IN SUFFICIENT
UPDRAFT STRENGTH TO ALLOW FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AS WELL.

..CROSBIE.. 06/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...

31028136 31478254 31988266 32718196 32438060