[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 232046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232045 
WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-232215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1395
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 PM CDT WED JUN 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...S CENTRAL AND SERN MN / NERN IA / CENTRAL AND SRN
WI / POSSIBLY NRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 511...

VALID 232045Z - 232215Z

SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS SERN PORTIONS OF WW...AND APPEARS TO
BE INCREASING SEWD ACROSS SERN MN / NERN IA INTO THE SRN HALF OF WI
/ NRN IL.  NEW WW MAY BE REQUIRED SE OF WW 511.

LATEST WV IMAGERY SHOWS STRONGEST ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER VORT
MAX IS NOW SHIFTING SEWD ACROSS ERN MN INTO WI / FAR NERN IA...WHERE
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION / DESTABILIZATION IS UNDERWAY. 
OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATE 500 TO 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE NOW IN
PLACE ACROSS THIS REGION...WHICH SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASE IN
STORM COVERAGE / INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. WITH AREA
VWP / PROFILER DATA INDICATING STRONG / WEAKLY-VEERING DEEP-LAYER
WINDS WITH HEIGHT -- SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE / SUPERCELL
STORMS...THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS APPEARS TO BE
INCREASING.

..GOSS.. 06/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...

45439404 45169304 44569150 44099015 43918781 42288685
42229013 42829274 44039557