[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 232004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232003 
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-232130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1394
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 PM CDT WED JUN 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN NC...FAR SERN VA AND FAR NRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 510...512...

VALID 232003Z - 232130Z

CLUSTER OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ORGANIZING OVER WCENTRAL/NCENTRAL
NC AND FAR SERN VA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ESE AROUND 20 KTS AND POSE
A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS SOUTH OF WW 512. THUS A
NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AROUND 21Z. 


A BRIEF TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORMS THAT MOVE ALONG A
STATIONARY BOUNDARY EXTENDING ALONG THE VA/NC BORDER. CONVECTION
OVER WCENTRAL/SWRN NC WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL NC...AND ADDITIONAL
STRONG-SEVERE STORMS OVER NCENTRAL NC WILL MOVE ESEWD AND OUT OF WW
512 BY 21Z. THEREFORE ANOTHER WW OVER ERN/SRN NC AND POSSIBLY FAR
NERN SC WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED AS MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPES
AROUND 2000 J/KG AND SUFFICIENTLY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
CO-EXIST AHEAD OF CONVECTION THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.

..CROSBIE.. 06/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

34878039 35498051 36308026 36647916 36867803 36937667
36527587 35147628 34507735 34347876 34638000 

WWWW