[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 231623
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231623 
MIZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-231830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1388
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CDT WED JUN 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN WI / FAR ERN IA / NRN IL / NWRN IN / WRN
LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 231623Z - 231830Z

THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP / INCREASE FROM ERN IA / SRN WI ENEWD
INTO LOWER MI OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS.  WITH APPARENT THREAT FOR
HAIL / DAMAGING WINDS...WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

AIRMASS CONTINUES TO HEAT / DESTABILIZE ACROSS THIS REGION WHERE A
CLEAR SKY AND LOW TO MID 50S DEWPOINTS COMBINED WITH FAIRLY COOL
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES SHOULD RESULT IN 500 TO 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER
CAPE BY MID-AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM NRN UPPER MI SWWD
TO ERN IA SHOULD PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AIDED BY WEAK MID-LEVEL FEATURE EVIDENT
IN WV IMAGERY MOVING EWD / ENEWD ACROSS IA IN BROAD BELT OF CYCLONIC
MID-LEVEL FLOW.

FAIRLY STRONG / GENERALLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW THROUGH A DEEP
LAYER ACROSS THIS REGION IS SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED / LINEAR STORM
MODE.  HAIL ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BECOME
INCREASINGLY LIKELY WITH TIME ACROSS THIS AREA...PARTICULARLY IF
SMALL-SCALE LINES / BOWS ORGANIZE ALONG / AHEAD OF FRONT.

..GOSS.. 06/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...

45848485 45088378 43778404 42308484 41008690 40659102
40889203 42839043 43018933 43658721 

WWWW