[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 191926
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191926 
MEZ000-NHZ000-192130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...MAINE/NH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 191926Z - 192130Z

MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL/WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON...A SEVERE WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ORGANIZED TSTM CLUSTERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/SPREAD
EWD ACROSS MAINE AND PORTIONS OF NH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND OCCLUDED/COLD FRONT TRAVERSE THE REGION.
DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION /ACROSS MUCH OF MAINE/ HAS BEEN
INHIBITED BY EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER MUCH OF THE DAY. HOWEVER SOME
EARLY AFTERNOON CLEARING AND NARROW WARM/MOIST SECTOR BENEATH UPPER
COLD POOL /-22C AT 500MB/ IS CONTRIBUTING TO MUCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG
PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH
STRONG SHEAR PROFILES/LOW FREEZING LEVELS SUGGEST MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL/WIND GUSTS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH MOST VIGOROUS TSTMS.

OVERALL MARGINAL/ISOLD NATURE IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE NECESSITY FOR
WW ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 06/19/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...

47216933 47286846 46706780 45726781 44586833 43946940
43367031 42897093 42867204 44007180 44977112 

WWWW