[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 192043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192043 
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-192245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1348
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...AR...NE TX...NW LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 192043Z - 192245Z

A FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A LINE MOVING EWD
ACROSS AR. OTHER STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NE TX WILL CONTINUE TO
POSE A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT AS WELL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

A CONVECTIVE BOW WITH A COLD POOL IS CURRENTLY MOVING EWD ACROSS
SWRN AR. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG AN EAST TO WEST
INSTABILITY GRADIENT AND MAY TURN MORE TO THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE
HIGHER SFC DEWPOINTS ACROSS NRN LA. DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS ONLY ABOUT
20 KT WHICH WILL LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. AN ADDITIONAL LIMITING
FACTOR FOR DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IS THE SLOW FORWARD MOTION (25
KT) OF THE LINE. STILL...STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND HIGH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOI

****ERROR: INCOMPLETE DATA






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NTXX98 KBMX 192043
MONMSG

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