[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 170233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170233 
KSZ000-OKZ000-170330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1311
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0933 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 486...

VALID 170233Z - 170330Z

DAMAGING WIND THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 04Z ACROSS SWRN KS
WITH EWD MOVING BOW ECHO.  IF THIS BOW SUSTAINS ITS INTENSITY AND
CURRENT 35-40 KT EWD MOVEMENT...THEN A NEW WW MAY BE REQUIRED TO THE
E/ENE OF WW 486 BY 04Z.

02Z SURFACE ANALYSIS/REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED A SURFACE BOUNDARY FROM
10 SE DDC-20 NW ICT-EMP.  AIR MASS ALONG AND EITHER SIDE OF THIS
BOUNDARY IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND A WELL ESTABLISHED COLD POOL
OVER SWRN KS/OK PANHANDLE IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED EWD
MOVEMENT OF THE BOW ECHO WITH DAMAGING WINDS.

..PETERS.. 06/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...

37030031 37750006 38710065 38919882 38909760 38159759
37009783 36849901