[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 162342
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162342 
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-170045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1309
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF ERN CO INTO WRN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 482...

VALID 162342Z - 170045Z

BOW ECHO LOCATED ALONG THE SERN CO/SWRN KS BORDER AT 2330Z PER
REGIONAL RADARS WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A DAMAGING WIND THREAT
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES INTO SWRN KS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  SURFACE
FRONT EXTENDED EWD FROM THE NRN PORTION OF THIS BOW TO BETWEEN
GCK/DDC TO HUT...WITH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR FAVORING A CONTINUATION OF THE FORWARD PROPAGATING
MCS/BOW ECHO.  STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES PER 00Z DDC RAOB AND
30-35 SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS WILL FURTHER ENHANCE THE DAMAGING
WIND POTENTIAL INTO SWRN KS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ISENTROPIC ASCENT ATOP THE COOLER BOUNDARY LAYER LOCATED ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL INTO NERN CO AND NWRN KS SHOULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND SHEAR VALUES
WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR ISOLATED HAIL WITH THIS
ACTIVITY INTO THE EARLY EVENING...BUT A WATCH TO THE NORTH OF WW 482
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..PETERS.. 06/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...

37020045 36960282 37390262 37890290 38730398 39110397
39980388 39900284 39470170 38750040 

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