[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 152220
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152219 
NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-160015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0519 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 152219Z - 160015Z

W CNTRL THROUGH CNTRL NEB ARE BEING MONITORED FOR THUNDERSTORM
INITIATION. ONCE STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP...THEY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL. A WW WILL BE NEEDED ONCE
INITIATION APPEARS IMMINENT.

THIS EVENING A COLD FRONT CONTINUES SWD THROUGH NRN NEB. THE
ATMOSPHERE IMMEDIATELY S OF THIS BOUNDARY IS ONLY MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE OWING TO SURFACE DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE LOWER 50S.
HOWEVER...RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WAS OBSERVED OVER CNTRL AND SWRN
NEB...SUPPORTING MLCAPE FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/G. THIS MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE ADVECTING NWD THIS EVENING. IF STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP
WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS...HIGH TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS
WILL SUPPORT HIGH BASED ACTIVITY OVER NRN NEB. AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS
SWD...LCLS WILL LOWER AND STORMS SHOULD INTENSIFY UPON INTERCEPTING
RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRONGER INSTABILITY. OTHER STORMS
OVER NERN CO MAY DEVELOP NEWD INTO PARTS OF SW NEB.

..DIAL.. 06/15/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...BOU...

41090231 41890213 42360037 43009884 42219820 41129944
40610127 

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