[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 150252
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150252 
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-150445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1279
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0952 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN NEB THROUGH NERN KS AND NW MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 150252Z - 150445Z

PARTS OF NERN KS THROUGH NW MO ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
WW. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND VERY HEAVY RAIN CURRENTLY APPEAR TO
BE THE MAIN THREAT. HOWEVER...AN INCREASING THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND
MIGHT OCCUR LATER THIS EVENING. TRENDS ARE BEGINNING TO SUGGEST
STORMS MAY DEVELOP A COLD POOL AND BEGIN TO FORWARD PROPAGATE. A WW
MIGHT BE NEEDED SOON.

LATE THIS EVENING A CLUSTER OF STORMS HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE SE
NEB...NERN KS BORDER N OF A STATIONARY FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM NRN
MO SWWD THROUGH NRN KS. THE STORMS APPEAR TO HAVE DEVELOPED IN
RESPONSE TO AN INCREASE IN ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND WARM ADVECTION
ABOVE THIS BOUNDARY. IF STORMS CAN DEVELOP A COLD POOL...THEY MAY
BEGIN TO PROPAGATE SWD INTO THE STRONGER INSTABILITY...AND THIS
WOULD ENHANCE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND IN ADDITION TO HAIL.

..DIAL.. 06/15/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

39709791 40279498 38879441 38939748 

WWWW