[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 142210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142209 
MOZ000-KSZ000-142345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1274
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0509 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CENTRAL/NERN KS AND WRN MO

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 469...

VALID 142209Z - 142345Z

CONTINUE WW. STRONGEST CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE IN VICINITY OF
I-70 CORRIDOR FROM MHK TO COU NEXT 1-3 HOURS. 

AT 22Z...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ALONG STALLED
FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM 15S RSL TO TOP TO 15 N COU.
STRONG HEATING ALONG/SOUTH OF BOUNDARY HAS RESULTED IN VERY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS WITH 100MB MLCAPE VALUES OF 2500-3500 J/KG. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS ARE GENERALLY 70+ ACROSS THE ERN 2/3RDS OF THE
WATCH...WITH PW VALUES GENERALLY AROUND 1.75". 

SURFACE WIND FIELDS HAVE BECOME WEAK IN VICINITY OF
BOUNDARY...HOWEVER...WLY SFC-6KM SHEAR OF 30-40 KT AND HIGH
INSTABILITY VALUES WILL MAINTAIN THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUE AS PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS. WWD
PROPAGATION COMPONENT ALONG BOUNDARY HAS RESULTED IN SLOW STORM
MOTIONS...CONTINUING THREAT OF VERY HVY RAIN WITH RATES LOCALLY UP
TO 2.5"/HR.

..BANACOS.. 06/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

38129258 38189848 39919849 39909258 

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