[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 142056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142055 
COZ000-142300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1273
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 142055Z - 142300Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASING ALONG THE FRONT
RANGE...MAINLY FROM COS NWD TO THE WY BORDER.  WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR POSSIBLE WW.

CONVECTION FORMING OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IS NOW PRODUCING LIGHTNING
WEST OF THE I-29 CORRIDOR.  TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER
TO MID 80S WITH SBCAPES NOW AROUND 1500 J/KG. SURFACE WINDS REMAIN
ELY NORTH OF THE PALMER DIVIDE AND ARE ENHANCING THE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR UNDER MODERATE WLY FLOW ALOFT.  COMBINATION OF 40-50 KT OF
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY SUGGEST A FEW STRONGER
CELLS WILL MAINTAIN THEMSELVES EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS AND INTO THE
PLAINS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
HIGH-BASED SUPERCELLS...WITH ATTENDANT THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS.  WW MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO.

..EVANS.. 06/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...

38520409 38500520 39620528 40930530 40980442 40980304
38660290 

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