[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 142045
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142045 
NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-142245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1272
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WV PANHANDLE...S-CENTRAL/SERN PA...NRN DE...AND
MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 142045Z - 142245Z

INCREASING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY IS EXPECTED ACROSS
S-CENTRAL/SERN PA...MD...AND THE ERN WV PANHANDLE DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. WW MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS THE REGION.

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF S-CENTRAL
PA/MD/WRN WV. REDUCTION OF HIGH CLOUDS DURING PAST SEVERAL HOURS HAS
ALLOWED FOR BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION...WITH 100MB MLCAPE
VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG ACROSS THE DISCUSSION REGION. SRN PA/MD
VICINITY IS ON SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW. HOWEVER
...UPPER DIFFLUENCE AND GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN OF MID-LEVEL FLOW
SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING AS GREAT LAKES SHORTWAVE TROUGH
AND ASSOCIATED MCS CONTINUE EWD. THEREFORE...THREAT EXISTS FOR
INCREASING STORM ORGANIZATION AND FORWARD MOVEMENT ACROSS ESPECIALLY
SRN/SERN PA...WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA BY EARLY EVENING.

..BANACOS.. 06/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...CTP...LWX...

39437847 40047818 40477723 40687633 40687579 40557512
40167487 39257591 39007692 39037744 39157826