[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 131758
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131757 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-132000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1244
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 PM CDT SUN JUN 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN IND AND WRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 131757Z - 132000Z

THUNDERSTORM INTENSITY EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS N-CENTRAL INTO
NERN IND/NWRN OH DURING NEXT FEW HOURS. WW IS LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THIS REGION. 

AT 1745Z...SUBTLE SURFACE CONVERGENCE AXIS EXTENDING FROM 35 E SBN
TO 30 NW IND HAS BEEN ASSOCIATED WITH INCREASING CONVECTIVE TRENDS
DURING PAST HOUR AS CONVECTIVE INHIBITION DECREASES. DEVELOPMENT IS
WITHIN SURFACE MOIST AXIS...WITH DEWPOINTS AROUND 70. CONTINUED
SURFACE HEATING WILL RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. STRONG...MAINLY UNIDIRECTIONAL
SWLY DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF DAMAGING WINDS WITH ANY
SMALL-SCALE BOW SEGMENTS THAT FORM THIS AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CORES AS STORMS TRACK GENERALLY ENEWD AT
30-35 KT THROUGH NERN IND AND NWRN OH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

..BANACOS.. 06/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...

39638554 39628605 40098656 40988617 41758534 41598332
40848299 40218286 39738302 39488367 

WWWW