[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 131229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131229 
MIZ000-WIZ000-131400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1241
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 AM CDT SUN JUN 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND NRN WI...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 131229Z - 131400Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL WI ATTM...AND
MAY POSE A LOCALIZED SEVERE THREAT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN NARROW AXIS OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS CENTRAL WI ATTM. 
STORMS ARE DEVELOPING NEAR SURFACE TROUGH AXIS MOVING EWD ACROSS WRN
WI...AND AHEAD OF LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR LSE MOVING NNEWD
TOWARD CENTRAL WI.

MODERATE DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD EXISTS ACROSS THIS REGION...PROVIDING
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR STORM ORGANIZATION / ROTATION. 
ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS LIMITED AND ELEVATED ABOVE A SHALLOW /
STABLE SURFACE LAYER...A FEW STRONGER / ROTATING STORMS MAY PRODUCE
HAIL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  ATTM...WW NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN
LIMITED / NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS WHICH SHOULD ALLOW ONLY A LOCAL /
MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT.  HOWEVER...IF MORE WIDESPREAD STORM
DEVELOPMENT BECOMES EVIDENT...WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

..GOSS.. 06/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

44299151 46488967 46668836 46298756 45078825 43508942
43129051 

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