[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 120229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120229 
MNZ000-NDZ000-120400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1204
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0929 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN ND INTO NWRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 441...

VALID 120229Z - 120400Z

ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH MOST INTENSE STORMS
FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

LATEST RADAR MOSAIC LOOP SUGGESTS THAT BAND OF TSTMS FROM
CAVALIER/PEMBINA COUNTIES SEWD INTO CLAY COUNTY MN HAVE WEAKENING
OVER THE PAST HALF HOUR AS THEY MOVE/DEVELOP NEWD AT 35-40KTS.
THOUGH FARGO/GRAND FORKS VWP CONTINUES TO INDICATE FAVORABLE SHEAR
PROFILES FOR ORGANIZED TSTMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...RUC FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT STABILIZATION OF BOUNDARY LAYER HAS GREATLY
REDUCED AIRMASS INSTABILITY. POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL
EXIST WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS...HOWEVER A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM DOWNSTREAM OVER
N-CNTRL MN.

..MEAD.. 06/12/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...ABR...BIS...

48960059 48989726 45949522 45959838 

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