[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 120118
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120117 
OKZ000-TXZ000-120245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1202
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0817 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SWRN OK INTO NWRN/WRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 439...

VALID 120117Z - 120245Z

GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR MAINLY LARGE HAIL AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL
EXIST ACROSS CNTRL AND SRN PORTIONS OF WW AREA FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO.

AS OF 0105Z...ABILENE/DYESS AFB VOLUMETRIC RADAR DATA INDICATED
CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES OVER
STONEWALL/HASKELL AND MITCHELL COUNTIES IN TX. PROPAGATION HAS
LARGELY GOVERNED STORM MOTIONS ACROSS THIS AREA...RESULTING IN
LITTLE OVERALL MOVEMENT OF COMPLEX. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF EMBEDDED
MESOCYCLONES...LARGE HAIL WILL REMAIN A DISTINCT THREAT FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS. ADDITIONALLY...QUASI-STATIONARY CHARACTER OF
COMPLEX INDICATES THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. STORMS
SHOULD TEND TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS
BOUNDARY-LAYER CONTINUES TO COOL AND STABILIZE.

..MEAD.. 06/12/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

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