[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 120059
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120058 
KSZ000-MOZ000-120300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 120058Z - 120300Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN
SECTIONS OF KS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. REGION WILL BE MONITORED
FOR POSSIBLE WW.

AT 0045Z...ISOLATED TOWERING CU WERE NOTED 15-20N EMP...IN VICINITY
OF LARGE-SCALE SURFACE TROUGH WHICH EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL IA SSWWD
ACROSS ERN KS. AIR MASS ACROSS FAR ERN KS...EAST OF THE SURFACE
TROUGH/DRYLINE...IS EXTREMELY MOIST WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID 70S WITHIN TOP-MCI CORRIDOR. THE 00Z TOP SOUNDING INDICATED THAT
THE AREA IS UNCAPPED...WITH VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. WHILE
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS NOT FORECAST TO BE STRONG...SURFACE
CONVERGENCE COMBINED WITH SLIGHT MID-LEVEL COOLING PROGGED ACROSS
THE REGION DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO
SUSTAIN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS EXISTS ACROSS ERN KS. CONVECTIVE
TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

..BANACOS.. 06/12/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

38749670 39489620 39919539 39809507 39079470 38709467
38209471 37849495 37759604 37899659 38129680 

WWWW