[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 101814
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101814 
SDZ000-NEZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-101945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN WY/NEB PANHANDLE/SWRN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101814Z - 101945Z

...TSTMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY ACROSS WRN PARTS OF NEB/SD AND
A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...

STRONG MID LEVEL IMPULSE IS NOW EJECTING NWD ON THE ERN PERIPHERY OF
LARGER SCALE DEEP WRN TROUGH. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG DIFFLUENCE
WITHIN EXIT REGION OF MID/UPPER JET WILL CONTINUE TO ACT ON
INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
CNTRL/NRN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLD ACTIVITY WAS CURRENTLY
DEVELOPING ALONG THE WARM FRONT OVER SWRN SD AND EXPECT CONVECTION
TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY NEXT FEW HOURS.

STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IN THE SURFACE TO 500MB LAYER WILL
INITIALLY SUPPORT SUPERCELLS. LOCALLY BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW NEAR THE
WARM FRONT COUPLED WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FLUX INTO
DEVELOPING LEE-SIDE LOW WILL ENHANCE TORNADO POTENTIAL WITH TIME.

..TAYLOR/CARBIN.. 06/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...CYS...BYZ...

42560429 43920578 44770549 45510310 44410012 43630011
42510057 41420233 41440363 

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