[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 101732
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101731 
NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-101930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1231 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN PA...NJ...MD...DE...ERN WV...VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101731Z - 101930Z

STRONG AND OCCASIONAL SEVERE TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS A
LARGE AREA FROM SERN PA AND NJ SWD OVER THE DELMARVA REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. SEVERE TSTM WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED OVER PARTS OF THE
REGION IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS PA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
MODEST DESTABILIZATION OCCURRING AHEAD OF IT. A FEW STRONGER STORMS
HAVE NOW DEVELOPED ON THE FRONT OVER NERN PA AND THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO GREATER INSTABILITY ACROSS SERN PA AND
SRN NJ THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL STORMS HAVE BEEN FORMING OVER THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE APPALACHIANS AND THIS CONVECTION WILL ALSO
SPREAD EAST INTO VERY MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM
THE WV PNHDL TO DELMARVA. STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW TO AID STORM
ORGANIZATION WILL EXIST ACROSS NRN AREAS NEAR THE FRONT AND
INCREASING OUTFLOW FROM STORM CLUSTERS/LINES IN THIS AREA MAY
EVENTUALLY ORGANIZE SUFFICIENTLY TO POSE A DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS
HIGHER INSTABILITY IS REALIZED. FARTHER SOUTH...WEAKER NWLY MID
LEVEL FLOW CURRENTLY AROUND 15KT IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INCREASE
LATER TODAY. GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY ACROSS THE DELMARVA
AREA...PULSE AND MULTICELL ACTIVITY MAY BECOME INCREASINGLY
ORGANIZED AND POSE SOME THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL.

..CARBIN.. 06/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...

40887639 41177474 40347394 39137483 38387533 36987662
36688117 37008161 39887947 41117821 

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