[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Sun Jun 6 15:27:51 UTC 2004


ACUS11 KWNS 061524
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061523 
FLZ000-061800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1114
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1023 AM CDT SUN JUN 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...THE FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 061523Z - 061800Z

THUNDERSTORMS WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES
INTO THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED WET MICRO BURSTS AND HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. WW NOT ANTICIPATED.

VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS FEW CLOUDS OVER THE FL PENINSULA...SUGGESTING
STRONG SURFACE HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION THIS
AFTERNOON. MORNING RAOB DATA FROM MIAMI... TAMPA AND JACKSONVILLE
ALREADY SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY IN PLACE WITH MUCAPE AROUND 2000
J/KG. MAXIMUM CAPE VALUES THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD RANGE FROM 2500 TO
3000 J/KG. STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ALONG
SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES INTO THE AFTERNOON. OTHER STORMS DEVELOPING
OVER NRN FL ALONG A NE-SW ORIENTED BOUNDARY MAY ALSO INCREASE AS
THEY MOVE EWD. VERTICAL WIND PROFILES ARE WEAK WITH A GENERAL WLY
COMPONENT...SUGGESTING STORM MODE WILL AGAIN BE PULSE AND MULTICELL.

..DIAL.. 06/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

28388086 26548008 25398073 26818176 28068237 29648245
30448166 








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