[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052248 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-060015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1107
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0548 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM...OK AND TX PANHANDLES...NWRN OK AND
PORTIONS OF KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 400...401...

VALID 052248Z - 060015Z

SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING/MOVING SEWD THROUGH
WW/S 400 AND 401.  GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS EXTENDS FROM NEAR TCC TO NEAR GAG TO NEAR HUT.

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO NEAR 90 DEGREES SOUTH OF THE STORM
CLUSTERS AND MLCAPES ARE NOW BETWEEN 2000 TO 3000 J/KG. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SUGGESTS SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST
SWWD INTO NWRN KS/SERN CO. THIS FEATURE SHOULD HELP TO GENERATE
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS INTO THE EVENING HOURS. ALTHOUGH THE MID LEVEL
FLOW IS ONLY AROUND 20-25 KT...THE STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND
AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
OCCASIONAL DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...THE STORM OUTFLOWS ARE LIKELY
TO CONGEAL DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...WITH AN INCREASING WIND
THREAT.

..IMY.. 06/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...ABQ...

35620382 36630294 37180120 38129978 38749830 37969749
36709894 35310296 

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