[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 051604
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051603 
FLZ000-GAZ000-051800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1095
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CDT SAT JUN 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN GA THROUGH THE FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 051603Z - 051800Z

THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY INTO
THE AFTERNOON. MULTICELL AND PULSE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

STRONG SURFACE HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION ACROSS
MOST OF THE FL PENINSULA INTO SERN GA THIS AFTERNOON. THOUGH MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE MODEST AND GENERALLY AOB 6.5 C/KM...HEATING OF
THE VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE AROUND 2000
J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES EXIST TO SERVE AS FOCI FOR
INITIATION INCLUDING A WEAK FRONT ACROSS SRN GA INTO NRN FL...
SEVERAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...AND DEVELOPING SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARIES.
WITH WEAK CAP IN PLACE...STORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING AS THE
ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR SUGGESTS STORMS WILL
HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME ORGANIZING...EXCEPT POSSIBLY AS MULTICELL
LINES ALONG SEA BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. THREAT FOR ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

..DIAL.. 06/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...

29428133 26878022 25668053 26038146 27378240 28848236
30028366 31348153 

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