[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 042235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042235 
TXZ000-050000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1089
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0535 PM CDT FRI JUN 04 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NCENTRAL/NWRN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 395...

VALID 042235Z - 050000Z

GREATEST SEVERE THREAT FOR THE REMAINDER OF WW 395 EXPIRATION TIME
/01Z/ APPEARS TO BE OVER THE SRN/WRN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH
AREA...FROM THE DFW AREA SWWD. AN ADDITIONAL ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF WW 395.

WEAK MID LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR STORM GENERATED OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY/COLD POOL INTERACTIONS TO ENHANCE UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND
MAINTAIN SEVERE THREAT OVER MUCH OF THE SRN/WRN HALF OF WW 395 FOR
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STABLE AIR EVIDENT OVER THE DFW METRO AREA AND
NERN PORTIONS OF WW 395 WILL LIKELY LIMIT ANY SEVERE THREAT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF WW 395 VALID TIME IN THESE AREAS. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN LIKELY TO THE SOUTH OF
WW 395 OVER THE HILL COUNTRY ALONG SYNOPTIC FRONT WHERE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AND LIMITED CINH WILL EXIST. CELL MERGERS...SWD MOVEMENT
AND POTENTIAL FOR COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT OVER SRN PORTIONS OF WW 395
MAY AID IN SOME DAMAGING WIND THREAT SOUTH OF WW 395 AND BEYOND 01Z.

..CROSBIE.. 06/04/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

30379981 32220174 32730162 34160050 33819807 32839727
31829584 30439621 

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