[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 041704
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041703 
FLZ000-042000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1081
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 PM CDT FRI JUN 04 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...THE FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 041703Z - 042000Z

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ON GUST FRONT MOVING SWD THROUGH NRN FL AND
ALONG SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FL PENINSULA
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL
THIS AFTERNOON. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THE ATMOSPHERE IS DESTABILIZING ACROSS MOST OF
THE FL PENINSULA WITH MLCAPE FROM 2000 TO 2500 J/KG. LINE OF STORMS
EXTENDING FROM NEAR ST AUGUSTINE SWWD TO NEAR CEDAR KEY IS MOVING
SEWD. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ALONG THIS LINE AS THEY
DEVELOP SEWD TOWARD STRONGER INSTABILITY. CONVERGENCE MAY BE
ENHANCED WHERE THIS BOUNDARY INTERACTS WITH DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARIES. OTHER STORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG SEA BREEZE
BOUNDARIES FARTHER SWD. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORT MOSTLY PULSE
AND MULTICELL STORM MODES. WET MICROBURSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

..DIAL.. 06/04/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

26388008 25778107 28268232 29468171 28798092 27558047 

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