[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 011608
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011607 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-011730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1036
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1107 AM CDT TUE JUN 01 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN LA/SRN MS EWD TO SRN GA/NRN FL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 365...

VALID 011607Z - 011730Z

DAMAGING WIND THREAT INCREASING ACROSS SERN MS INTO SWRN AL.

NEW WW MAY BE REQUIRED TO THE EAST OF WW 365 ACROSS NRN FL THIS
AFTERNOON.

15Z SURFACE ANALYSIS COMBINED WITH VIS/RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED AN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS OVER SRN AL/WRN FL
PANHANDLE...EXTENDING FROM COASTAL AREA OF SWRN AL WNWWD TO THE FAST
MOVING BOW ECHO OVER SRN MS.  AIR MASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THIS
BOUNDARY IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH THE FASTEST PORTION OF THE
BOW EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ITS ESEWD MOVEMENT AT AROUND 40 KT ALONG
THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT.  DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS
SERN MS THROUGH 17Z...AND ACROSS FAR SWRN AL/FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE
BETWEEN 1630-18Z.

SURFACE ANALYSIS ACROSS SRN GA/NRN FL INDICATED TWO SURFACE
BOUNDARIES.  A SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY EXTENDED FROM SERN GA SWWD TO THE
FL PANHANDLE...WITH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTH ACROSS FAR NRN
FL.  AIR MASS ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
DESTABILIZE AND SHOULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
AS DEEP LAYER SHEAR INCREASES FROM THE WEST WITH THE APPROACH OF TWO
MCV/S...ONE CURRENTLY OVER SERN AL AND THE OTHER ACROSS SERN MS.  WW
MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE REST OF FAR NRN FL THIS AFTERNOON AS
ACTIVITY ACROSS SWRN GA/CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE APPROACHES THIS REGION
AND/OR ISOLATED STORMS ACROSS NRN FL SHOW SIGNS OF BETTER
ORGANIZATION.

..PETERS.. 06/01/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

29729346 31769105 31808190 30698150 30028139 29638337
29658458 

WWWW