[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 171848
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171848 
GAZ000-172015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1723
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CDT SAT JUL 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 171848Z - 172015Z

...A FEW PULSE SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SERN GA THE NEXT
FEW HOURS...BUT WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AS THREAT SHOULD BE ISOLATED
AND SEVERE WIND THREAT WITHIN STORMS SHOULD BE SHORT LIVED.

SUNNY SKIES INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES
TO WARM TO NEAR 90 DEGREES. ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT 
STEEP...DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S ALONG WITH DIURNAL HEATING WAS
YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES BETWEEN 1500-2000 J/KG. ALTHOUGH THE DEEP
LAYER SHEAR IS AT 20-25 KT...DEEP WLY TROPOSPHERIC WINDS AT 10-20 KT
AND A WEAK COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THE EWD MOVING STORMS MAY BE
SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW SHORT LIVED DOWNBURSTS.

..IMY.. 07/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

30918195 30788353 31278383 33098351 33208310 33078228
32588206 

WWWW