[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 170158
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170158 
AZZ000-170230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1717
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0858 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/WRN AZ

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 649...

VALID 170158Z - 170230Z

SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE VERY LOW OVER WW 649...WITH HEAVY RAIN
BEING THE MAIN THREAT THROUGH 03Z. PER COORDINATION WITH WFOS
PSR/TWC...WW 649 WILL BE CANCELLED AT 02Z.

CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SWWD ACROSS SRN/WRN AZ...AND
ADDITIONAL ISOLATED BRIEFLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR
THE NEXT HOUR...ESPECIALLY WHERE THIS OUTFLOW INTERSECTS OTHER
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. HEAVY RAIN APPEARS TO BE THE MAIN THREAT GIVEN
HIGH PW VALUES...SLOW CELL MOTIONS AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/CELL MERGERS
WHICH WILL OCCUR IN THE SAME LOCATIONS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS OVER
WRN MARICOPA AND ERN LA PAZ/YUMA COUNTIES.

..CROSBIE.. 07/17/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...

32091359 33621382 34571328 34531267 33291265 32681211
32681093 32121105 

WWWW