[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 162004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162003 
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-162200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1710
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0303 PM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AR...MS...NERN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 648...

VALID 162003Z - 162200Z

SCATTERED NEW CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER PARTS OF SERN AR...NERN
LA...AND WRN MS IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER STORMS NOW OVER WRN AL. 
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OUTFLOW FROM EARLIER CONVECTION
CONTRIBUTED TO ENHANCED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AS THE BOUNDARIES
PROPAGATED WWD...WITH CONTINUING OUTFLOW MERGERS RESULTING IN
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
/MLCAPE OF 2500-3500 J/KG/.  VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION
REMAINS MODEST AT BEST IN ASSOCIATION WITH 20-30 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE
MID LEVELS.  THIS SUGGESTS CONVECTION WILL PERSIST PRIMARILY AS
MULTICELL CLUSTERS WITH POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

..WEISS.. 07/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...SHV...

32549221 33689252 34299260 34389132 34629027 34688950
33148911 31278870 31279008 31359194 

WWWW