[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 161129
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161128 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-161300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1705
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0628 AM CDT FRI JUL 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...W CENTRAL AND SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 645...

VALID 161128Z - 161300Z

WIDESPREAD / PRIMARILY ELEVATED STORMS CONTINUE MOVING SSEWD ACROSS
NRN PARTS OF WW ATTM.  ALTHOUGH WW REMAINS IN EFFECT...SEVERE THREAT
HAS DECREASED. WW MAY BE CANCELLED PRIOR TO ITS 16/14Z EXPIRATION.

DESPITE FAVORABLE INSTABILITY...THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING WITHIN BROAD
AREA OF WARM ADVECTION ACROSS MO REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE CAPPING
INVERSION / STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.  SURFACE-BASED SUPERCELL WHICH
PRODUCED DAMAGING WINDS / HAIL ACROSS PARTS OF THE KANSAS CITY METRO
AREA EARLIER HAS SINCE WEAKENED...AND STORMS HAVE REMAINED
SUB-SEVERE OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.

ATTM...IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED /
SUB-SEVERE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING.  ALTHOUGH WW
REMAINS IN EFFECT ATTM...EARLY CANCELLATION MAY BE POSSIBLE BARRING
ANY UNFORESEEN INCREASES IN SEVERE THREAT ACROSS SWRN MO.

..GOSS.. 07/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...

38099478 38459420 38139282 37549237 36489222 36469458 

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