[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 160300
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160300 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-160430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1702
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 PM CDT THU JUL 15 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN CO/NWRN KS AND SWRN INTO S-CNTRL NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 644...

VALID 160300Z - 160430Z

ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL REMAINS POSSIBLE...HOWEVER
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS DIMINISHING.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS LARGE CONVECTIVE MASS OVER WRN PORTIONS
OF WW AREA WITH POSSIBLE MCV OVER EXTREME SWRN NEB/NWRN KS.
STRONGEST TSTM ACTIVITY AS OF 0250Z WAS OCCURRING FROM VICINITY OF
MCV EWD INTO HITCHCOCK COUNTY NEB AND RAWLINS/THOMAS COUNTIES IN
NWRN KS. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE AN INCREASING CAP AND
RELATIVELY WEAK SHEAR...SUGGESTING THAT ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/HAIL
THREAT WILL LIKELY REMAIN CONFINED TO LEADING EDGE OF SYSTEM COLD
POOL AS IT SLOWLY PROGRESSES SEWD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

..MEAD.. 07/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...CYS...

41010269 40349803 38819811 39430273 

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