[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 160216
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160216 
WIZ000-MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-160345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1701
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0916 PM CDT THU JUL 15 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN ND/NERN SD AND PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 643...

VALID 160216Z - 160345Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED WIND/HAIL IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO...HOWEVER OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO BE
DIMINISHING.

REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS CLUSTER OF STRONG TSTMS OVER STEVENS
AND POPE COUNTIES IN W-CNTRL MN MOVING SWD AT 20-30KTS. THOUGH 00Z
MPX/ABR SOUNDINGS INDICATED PRESENCE OF MODERATELY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS...IT APPEARS THAT RELATIVELY WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE HAS
LIMITED OVERALL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

LATEST WOOD LAKE PROFILER DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW IMPRESSIVE
MID/UPPER-LEVEL WIND FIELDS WITH 40-50KTS OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR INVOF
OF ONGOING STORMS. THUS...POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED WIND/HAIL IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS FROM SW OF AXN TO
W/NW OF RWF.

..MEAD.. 07/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...ARX...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...

47279812 46619697 46489538 46299434 45989278 43769278
44699807 

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