[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 141235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141235 
NCZ000-SCZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-141400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1662
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0735 AM CDT WED JUL 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TN...WRN NC...NRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 141235Z - 141400Z

...THUNDERSTORMS MAY INCREASE IN INTENSITY LATER THIS MORNING ACROSS
THE WRN CAROLINAS...

LONG LIVED COMPACT ELEVATED MCS CONTINUES ITS SEWD MOVEMENT ACROSS
NRN TN TOWARD THE WRN SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS.  THIS ACTIVITY
APPEARS SUFFICIENTLY ORGANIZED TO WITHSTAND CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION
TOWARD A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS THAT EVENTUALLY ROOTS IN BOUNDARY
LAYER BY LATE MORNING. STRONG SUNSHINE AHEAD OF THIS CLUSTER
SUGGESTS STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL AID INTENSIFICATION
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS INTO THE MIDDLE
ATLANTIC REGION.  WW MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS MORNING TO INCLUDE
AREAS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS WRN CAROLINAS.

..DARROW.. 07/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...GSP...MRX...OHX...

36558421 36338282 36078162 35338150 34848237 35258455
35848511 

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