[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 120254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120254 
SDZ000-120530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1624
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0954 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL / ERN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 120254Z - 120530Z

SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SERN SD
THROUGH LATE EVENING...AND A WW DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE NEEDED.

CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER CENTRAL SD WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY
EWD...AND THEN WILL LIKELY TURN SEWD WITH TIME AS LOW LEVEL JET
INCREASES OUT OF THE SSW. 

CAP IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...AND STORMS ARE NOW MOVING INTO
MOIST AXIS.  THEREFORE...WITH LOW LEVEL FORCING DUE TO WARM
ADVECTION CONTINUING...STORMS WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS THEY
MOVE E AND SEWD.  LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS APPEAR
LIKELY.

..JEWELL.. 07/12/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...UNR...

44040047 44579992 44509716 42979752 43339973 

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