[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 111533
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111533 
IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-111730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1614
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1033 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SE NEB...SW IA AND EXTREME NW MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 111533Z - 111730Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
ACROSS SE NEB AND SPREAD EWD INTO PARTS OF SW IA AND NW MO.
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

LATE THIS MORNING A BAND OF CLOUDS RESULTING FROM ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH AN MCV IS MOVING EWD THROUGH SE NEB. THE ATMOSPHERE DOWNSTREAM
FROM THIS FEATURE IS ALREADY MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE AROUND
2000 J/KG AND STEEP LAPSE RATES...AND FURTHER DESTABILIZATION WILL
OCCUR AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM. LATEST RADAR DATA
ALREADY SHOW ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE MCV
OVER SE NEB AND ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED AS THE ATMOSPHERE
DESTABILIZES. OTHER STORMS MIGHT ALSO DEVELOP ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
DROPPING SWD THROUGH WRN IA/ERN NEB. MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
INTO THE AFTERNOON.

..DIAL.. 07/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...

40099575 40759695 41919675 41909487 40659402 

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