[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 102352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102351 
NDZ000-110145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1605
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 598...

VALID 102351Z - 110145Z

CONTINUE WW.

ALTHOUGH MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ALONG
EAST-WEST SURFACE BOUNDARY VICINITY OF INTERSTATE 94 APPEARS TO BE
WEAK...MID-LEVEL INHIBITION SEEMS WEAK ENOUGH TO SUPPORT CONTINUING
RISK OF ISOLATED INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ZONE ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS.  SURFACE DEW POINTS REMAIN
AROUND 70F IN NORTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW JUST TO THE NORTH OF
BOUNDARY...AND THIS IS CONTRIBUTING TO MEAN MIXED LAYER CAPE ON THE
ORDER OF 2000 TO 4000 J/KG...UNTIL INHIBITION INCREASES AS BOUNDARY
LAYER BEGINS TO COOL BY 01-02Z.  NORTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE
ALSO ENHANCING LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS BENEATH WEAK TO MODERATE
WESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW...SUFFICIENTLY SO THAT SUPERCELLS REMAIN
POSSIBLE WITH HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS...PERHAPS A TORNADO.

..KERR.. 07/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

46730222 46830161 46980124 46949970 47199904 47379821
46949788 46419830 46109998 46290186 46280245 

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