[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 102108
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102107 
NCZ000-VAZ000-102300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1601
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0407 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 102107Z - 102300Z

ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL PERSIST WITH CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
AS IT MOVES SWD INTO NCENTRAL NC. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH MODEST COLD POOL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SWD
FROM SCENTRAL VA INTO NCENTRAL NC OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STEEP
LAPSE RATES AROUND 9 DEG C FROM THE SFC-3 KM AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPES AROUND 2000 J/KG WILL AID IN CONTINUED
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE ALONG THE
LEADING EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE/GUST FRONT. LACK OF STRONGER
BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENTAL WIND FIELDS AS EVIDENT BY REGIONAL VWP/S
SHOULD LIMIT A GREATER SEVERE THREAT.

..CROSBIE.. 07/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...

35787969 36008021 36408035 36578019 36557930 36567807
36187779 35727817 

WWWW