[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 102057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102056 
NDZ000-SDZ000-MTZ000-102300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1600
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...W THROUGH W CNTRL SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 596...

VALID 102056Z - 102300Z

STORMS HAVE INCREASED OVER THE LAST HOUR...AND THREAT FOR ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST NEXT COUPLE HOURS
ACROSS W CNTRL SD. OTHER HIGH BASED STORMS OVER ERN WY MAY INTENSIFY
AS THEY MOVE EWD INTO WRN SD.

STORMS HAVE INCREASED DURING THE PAST HOUR WITHIN ZONE OF MID LEVEL
ASCENT SPREADING EWD THROUGH WRN SD. THE INCREASE IN INTENSITY CAN
BE ATTRIBUTED TO STORMS ENCOUNTERING STRONGER INSTABILITY AND WEAKER
CAP DOWNSTREAM TOWARD CNTRL SD. FARTHER WEST ACROSS WRN SD...STORMS
HAVE MOVED E OF THE WRN PORTION OF WW 596...BUT WILL LEAVE THIS AREA
IN THE WATCH SINCE HIGH BASED STORMS OVER ERN WY MAY INTENSIFY AS
THE MOVE EAST INTO WRN SD.

..DIAL.. 07/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...UNR...BYZ...GGW...

46440225 45130396 45190532 46240602 46980414 47150180