[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 080223
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080223 
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-080400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1566
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0923 PM CDT WED JUL 07 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL KS / N CENTRAL AND NWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 589...

VALID 080223Z - 080400Z

CLUSTER OF SEVERE STORMS IS MOVING SWD ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF WW
ATTM.  SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES...AND MAY SPREAD INTO S CENTRAL KS
AND ADJACENT NWRN / N CENTRAL OK OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

STORMS HAVE BEGUN A SWD PROPAGATION ACROSS CENTRAL KS...WITH
STRONGEST STORMS MOVING ACROSS ELLIS AND RUSSELL COUNTIES INTO RUSH
AND BARTON COUNTIES ATTM.  REPORTS OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND HAVE
BEEN RECEIVED FROM RUSSELL COUNTY...AND LARGE HAIL ALSO APPEARS
LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS.  IN ADDITION...STORM CLUSTER APPEARS TO BE
TAKING ON A BOW SHAPE ATTM...WHICH SUGGESTS AN INCREASING POTENTIAL
FOR DAMAGING WINDS AS THIS CLUSTER MOVES SWD.

OVER THE NEXT HOUR STORMS WILL APPROACH THE SRN FRINGE OF WW. 
ALTHOUGH OBJECTIVE ANALYSES AND LAMONT OK RAOB INDICATE A SOMEWHAT
LESS UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS SRN KS / NRN OK...INSTABILITY SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW STORMS TO CONTINUE -- PARTICULARLY GIVEN
INCREASING SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS THIS REGION.  WE WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS...AND ASSUMING STORMS REMAIN
ORGANIZED...NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED S OF WW 589.

..GOSS.. 07/08/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...

39320007 39589844 38739771 37229773 36329786 36029910
36500018 38300023 

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