[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 072315
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072315 
KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-080045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1564
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 PM CDT WED JUL 07 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...S CENTRAL NEB / CENTRAL KS...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 587...

VALID 072315Z - 080045Z

SEVERE / SUPERCELL STORMS CONTINUE ACROSS N CENTRAL KS IN THE SRN
HALF OF WW 587.  

CLUSTER OF SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES ACROSS N CENTRAL KS ATTM...ALONG
STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE / OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LYING ACROSS THIS REGION. 
WITH STORMS ON THE NERN EDGE OF LARGE INSTABILITY AXIS AND LOW-LEVEL
JET / THETA-E ADVECTION FORECAST TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...EXPECT STORMS / SEVERE THREAT TO CONTINUE.

ALTHOUGH DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD WOULD SUGGEST A SELY STORM
MOTION...INCREASING SLY / SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET WOULD FAVOR A MORE SWD
MOVEMENT -- PARTICULARLY IF AN ORGANIZED COLD POOL DEVELOPS.  WITH
LITTLE DEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATED ATTM ACROSS SRN NEB / NRN PORTIONS OF
WW DUE TO CAPPING AND SHORT-WAVE RIDGING ALOFT...SEVERE THREAT OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF WW
OVER NRN / CENTRAL KS. WITH TIME...THREAT SHOULD SHIFT SWD TOWARD
SRN KS / OK...WITH NEW WW POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS AREA IN THE NEXT 1 TO
2 HOURS.

..GOSS.. 07/07/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

38129596 37159562 36939922 38379928 41750139 41739868 

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