[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 070449
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070448 
OKZ000-TXZ000-070615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1552
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CDT TUE JUL 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN OK...NWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 070448Z - 070615Z

...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS SWRN OK AND PORTIONS OF NWRN
TX...

SUSTAINED WEAK WARM ADVECTION...PER FDR/TLX VAD WINDS...HAS FINALLY
FORCED PARCELS TO LFC AND ELEVATED CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO BREAK
OUT ACROSS MUCH OF SWRN OK AND EXTREME NWRN TX NEAR CDS.  THIS
ACTIVITY MAY CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE GIVEN THE 00Z
SOUNDING OBSERVED AT OUN...STEEP LAPSE RATES...MINIMAL
INHIBITION...AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.8 INCHES. 
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE A BIT WARM AND MOIST TO SUPPORT MORE THAN
MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL.  WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME BUT WILL
BE MONITORED FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN THIS ACTIVITY.

..DARROW.. 07/07/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

34480028 35479889 35309752 33849729 33039982 

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