[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060617
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060616 
MOZ000-KSZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-060815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1538
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 AM CDT TUE JUL 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND ERN KS...OK AND NERN TX PNHDLS...NWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 572...573...

VALID 060616Z - 060815Z

LARGE SCALE LINEAR MCS WITH SEVERE WIND AND HAIL EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING E/SE ACROSS WATCHES 572 AND 573 NEXT FEW HOURS. NEW
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED WITHIN 2 HOURS TO COVER PORTIONS OF
SCNTRL AND NERN OK/NWRN AR...AS WELL AS ERN KS INTO WRN MO.

WELL ORGANIZED LARGE SCALE BOW ECHO COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE TO BE
FUELED BY VERY MOIST AND STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS OK/KS
THROUGH 09Z/4AM CDT. STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE LINE AND
FAVORABLE LARGE SCALE DYNAMICS IN THE FORM OF 500MB HEIGHT FALLS AND
INCREASING WNWLY MID LEVEL FLOW WILL FURTHER SUSTAIN THE SYSTEM AS
IT SPREADS E AND SEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS. CURRENTLY...THE GREATEST
WIND THREAT APPEARS TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ACCELERATING EMBEDDED
SMALL SCALE BOW MOVING ACROSS WOODWARD AND WOODS COUNTIES IN NW OK.
IN KS...VERY HIGH REFLECTIVITY WAS NOTED ALONG THE LINE FROM ICT
RADAR WITH STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING...OUTFLOW WINDS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD ACROSS ICT AREA IN ABOUT AN HOUR.

..CARBIN.. 07/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...AMA...PUB...

35369629 35340073 37560290 37589894 40629696 40559431
36319639 36389703 

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