[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061401
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061400 
ILZ000-MOZ000-061500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1541
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0900 AM CDT TUE JUL 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 577...

VALID 061400Z - 061500Z

ISOLATED WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL IL THIS MORNING...BUT
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING.  WW MAY BE
CANCELLED EARLY.

REGIONAL RADARS SHOW A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NERN
MO INTO CENTRAL IL.  AN EMBEDDED BAND OF STORMS FROM ADAMS TO
CALHOUN COUNTIES IL WAS MOVING TO THE ENE AT 40 KT...WHILE THE
LEADING STORMS OVER LOGAN TO MACOUPIN COUNTIES HAVE DECREASED IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE LAST HALF HOUR.  MOST OF THE ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO DECELERATE DURING THE NEXT HOUR AS IT MOVES ENEWD INTO A
MORE STABLE AIR MASS ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL IL.  WW MAY BE
CANCELLED EARLY DUE TO OVERALL EXPECTED DECREASE IN SEVERE THREAT.

HOWEVER...BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AIR MASS FARTHER DOWNSTREAM ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY REGION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE
SUPPORTING THE POTENTIAL FOR NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT AND SEVERE THREAT.

..PETERS.. 07/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

39169108 40489129 40658930 40658762 39348763 39148825
39008907 

WWWW