[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 061018
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061018 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-061215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1540
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0518 AM CDT TUE JUL 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...WRN/CNTRL MO...OK...NWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 575...576...

VALID 061018Z - 061215Z

LARGE AND PROGRESSIVE MCC CONTINUES DEVELOPING EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS THIS MORNING WITH OCCASIONAL SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND SOME
HAIL WITHIN LEADING BAND OF INTENSE CONVECTION. LATEST IR IMAGES
WERE SHOWING A GRADUALLY WARMING CLOUD CANOPY PERHAPS INDICATIVE OF
A SLOW DEMISE. HOWEVER...IT WILL LIKELY BE SEVERAL MORE HOURS BEFORE
LARGE STRATIFORM RAIN AREA WEAKENS AND GUST FRONT FORCING SUBSIDES.

STRONG BOW ECHO HAS SURGED EAST ACROSS THE SRN MKC AREA THIS MORNING
AND MAY REMAIN A FOCUS FOR WIND DAMAGE AS IT TRAVELS ALONG LOW LEVEL
BAROCLINIC ZONE SITUATED ACROSS NCNTRL MO. FARTHER SOUTH...EXTENSIVE
ARC OF OUTFLOW WAS MOVING GENERALLY SEWD AT 30-35KT ACROSS CNTRL AND
SWRN OK. CURRENT TRACKS ON THESE FEATURES WILL BRING THEM TO THE ERN
AND SRN EDGES OF WATCHES 575 AND 576 BY AROUND 13Z/8AM CDT.

..CARBIN.. 07/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...SHV...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...FWD...OUN...

33969518 33959958 36969766 39649608 39629160 37009328
36959302 

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