[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 052008
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052008 
DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-DCZ000-052215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1522
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0308 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN VA...ERN MD / DE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052008Z - 052215Z

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING AND MOVING SEWD
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND APPEARS TO BE THE
MAIN THREAT.  A WW IS BEING CONSIDERED.

VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE HAS DEVELOPED WITH MLCAPE VALUES 2000-2500
J/KG.  SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS PERSIST E OF APPALACHIANS FROM SERN PA
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL VA. A CONTINUATION OF HEATING WILL ALLOW
ADDITIONAL STORMS TO FORM WITHIN THESE AREAS.  

POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES INDICATE
HAIL THREAT WILL BE MINIMAL.  AREA VWPS INDICATE 20-40 KTS OF WLY
FLOW ABOVE 2 KM...WHICH IS CAUSING SELY STORM MOTIONS AROUND 20 KT. 
STORMS MAY GAIN STRENGTH AS THEY FORWARD PROPAGATE INTO STRONG
INSTABILITY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE.

..JEWELL.. 07/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...RNK...

39487704 39667582 38627476 36537589 36667797 37257904
38467864 39257764 

WWWW