[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 051103
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051102 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-051230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1517
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 AM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OK...SERN KS...SWRN MO...NWRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 559...

VALID 051102Z - 051230Z

NUMEROUS STRONG AND A FEW SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE WITHIN WW 559 EARLY
THIS MORNING. MOST INTENSE ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A SMALL
SCALE BOW ECHO MOVING ENEWD AT 45-50KT ACROSS HENRY AND ST. CLAIR
COUNTIES OF WCNTRL MO. THE APEX OF THIS BOW APPEARS TO BE DEVELOPING
ALONG A TRAILING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SAGGING SWD FROM ERN BENTON TO
MORGAN COUNTIES. STORM SCALE INFLOW AND ASCENT INVOF THIS BOUNDARY
SHOULD MAINTAIN THE DAMAGING WIND THREAT WITH THE BOW ECHO AS IT
DEVELOPS EAST ALONG THE NRN EDGE OF WW 559 OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
IF THIS ACTIVITY CAN MAINTAIN INTENSITY...AREAS OF ECNTRL MO MAY
NEED TO BE COVERED IN A NEW SEVERE TSTM WATCH.

FARTHER SW...WIDELY SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP
ATOP COLD POOL IN THE WAKE OF THE BOW COMPLEX...FROM SERN KS INTO
NERN OK. A FEW OF THE STRONGER CORES COULD STILL PRODUCE SOME HAIL.

..CARBIN.. 07/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...OUN...

38579428 38739284 38329171 36569112 36189358 36079612
36169735 38049489 

WWWW